Archive for May, 2009

NHL: PITTSBURGH at DETROIT – Game 2 (5/31)

Sunday, May 31st, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

HOCKEY — May 31
Stanley Cup Finals – Game 2

PITTSBURGH at DETROIT
(Red Wings -140, Penguins +120, Total 5.5) — Leave it to the NHL to do something nutty like schedule games in its showcase event – the Stanley Cup finals – back-to-back, where players are obviously going to be more tired than they would be otherwise. That’s the difference between this league and the NBA. It also illustrates the degree to which NBC will let this series infiltrate its weeknight schedule. It appears as if Marc-Andre Fleury was a little uncomfortable with playing some of the caroms off the backboards at the Joe Louis Arena, and that, it can be argued, led directly to two Red Wing goals. There is very little time to really make an adjustment, and they’re also going to have to go a long way to reverse Detroit’s advantage on face-offs (39-16). Only 30 shots for the Wings last night; that’s a big comedown from the 46 they had on the Blackhawks in the clincher. And Detroit gave away the puck a lot. You would have to say Pittsburgh is the healthier team right now, but for a team with the likes of Sidney Crosby, one shot on goal in two power play attempts is not encouraging. The Penguins have converted on just two of their last 15 opportunities with a man advantage. They’ve also killed eleven straight penalties.

THE PLAY: UNDER 5.5 (+105) *

MLB: SEATTLE at L.A. ANGELS (5/31)

Sunday, May 31st, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

BASEBALL — May 31

SEATTLE at L.A. ANGELS
(Olson vs. Santana; Angels -190, Mariners +160, Total 9) — Did you know that Johan Santana was pitching today for the Angels? Yeah, that’s his real name, but with the OTHER Johan Santana having such great success, in order to avoid confusion, THIS Johan Santana started using his middle name Edwin instead. By any name, he’s not been doing well, with a 7.81 era thus far in his three starts, although his last outing, where he was bombed out with seven runs and nine hits in one inning against the White Sox, negated the good work he had done in his first two starts. Against the Mariners, Santana has done well in his last three, allowing four runs in 21-2/3 innings, including a 1-0 defeat on May 20. Garrett Olson, who came to the M’s from Baltimore, was a victim of non-support in his last outing, as he held the Giants scoreless over six innings but lost 5-1. Seattle is the lowest scoring team in the AL right now, but it’s the Angels who have had more trouble putting runs across the plate this week, with 13 in the last five games. Brian Fuentes completely blew one yesterday, as he helped erase a 3-0 Angels lead in the ninth. That’s emblematic of the bullpen problems L.A./Anaheim has had this year since letting Francisco Rodriguez go off to the Mets. This price is too high.

THE PLAY: SEATTLE (+160) **

MLB: L.A. DODGERS at CHI. CUBS (5/31)

Sunday, May 31st, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

BASEBALL — May 31

L.A. DODGERS at CHI. CUBS
(Milton vs. Marshall; Cubs -145, Dodgers +125, Total 9.5) — L.A.’s bats have been silenced in the first three games of this series, as they have scored just three runs. Since losing Manny Ramirez to the drug suspension, they have gone 13-9, and we can’t blame the recent drought on his absence. Not totally. This is still the National League’s second highest scoring team. Sean marshall has given the Cubs a decent effort in six of his seven starts this season, while Eric Milton has been more than serviceable for the Dodgers since coming back from his long absence; his ERA is an even 3.00, and he went five innings without a walk in his last outing. The Dodgers are fourth in the majors in hitting against lefties, with a .305 average, which accounts for their 11-4 mark against southpaws. The Cibs, on the other hand, have hit just six of their 54 homers against lefties.

THE PLAY: L.A. DODGERS (+125) *

MLB: ST. LOUIS at SAN FRANCISCO (5/31)

Sunday, May 31st, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

BASEBALL — May 31

ST. LOUIS at SAN FRANCISCO
(Wainwright vs. Sanchez; Cardinals -140, Giants +120, Total 7.5) — Jonathan Sanchez has not done too badly lately, as he followed a six-inning, two-hit performance against the Padres with a another solid five innings against the Atlanta Braves. The Giants have lost five of his last six starts, though, and one of the reasons is that they can’t score runs for him for the most part – only ten runs in those five defeats. San Francisco can’t even average more than four runs per contest; meanwhile, St. Louis is 11-5 against left-handed starts, and one of the reasons is obviously Albert Pujols, who hit two solo homers yesterday and has six home runs in 47 at-bats against southpaws. Adam Wainwright’s been sizzling of late, allowing juts three runs and 12 hits in his last three starts, spanning 23-2/3 innings.

THE PLAY: ST. LOUIS (-140) **

MLB: SEATTLE at L.A. ANGELES (5/30)

Saturday, May 30th, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

BASEBALL — May 30

SEATTLE at L.A. ANGELS
(Hernandez vs. Palmer; Mariners -115, Angels -105, Total 8.5) — What would you have told me if I had said, back in spring training, that as June was approaching, the Seattle Mariners might be laying a price on the road to the Los Angeles Angels? Especially as Seattle has lost 16 of its last 24 games? Felix Hernandez has endured a little brutality at the hands of the Angels in his last two starts against them, surrendering ten runs, 24 hits and 30 base runners overall in just 11-2/3 innings. At the same time, he is perfectly capable of shutting out a team for seven or eight innings, as he’s done three times this year. The Angels are 6-0 in games Matt Palmer has started, and 18-23 in the others. He’s hardly immune to a little bombardment, though, having given up about a run per inning over his last two outings.

THE PLAY: OVER 8.5 (-110) *

MLB: WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA (5/30)

Saturday, May 30th, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

BASEBALL — May 30

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA
(Martis vs. Hamels; Phillies -265, Nationals +245, Total 9.5) — We give Shairon Martis all the credit in the world for having a 5-0 record, but he’s given up five runs in six inning sin each of his last two starts, and did not have much success in an April 27 start against the Phillies, allowing seven runs in just five frames. Cole Hamels has surrendered more than two runs in just one of his last six starts, and he’s been so good against this team that it’s scary – over the last five encounters with Washington he’s allowed one run in 35 innings. Wouldn’t you know it? The Nats are having a struggle putting runs across the plate right now, and that has resulted in seven unders in the last nine games. But our play is a little unorthodox here, as we’ll lay a short price on the Phils to put some distance between themselves and this opponent.

THE PLAY: PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-120) *

MLB: MINNESOTA at TAMPA BAY (5/30)

Saturday, May 30th, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

BASEBALL — May 30

MINNESOTA at TAMPA BAY
(Liriano vs. Price; Rays -135, Twins +115, Total 9.5) — Minnesota sure has been bad on the road, posting just a 5-15 record this season. I’ll tell you what, though – the difference between the Rays being over .500 and under .500 is their under-achievement against left-handers, as they have won just six games against southpaw starters, losing eleven. Besides, Tampa Bay is not the force of nature it was last season as a home squad, winning just 12 of 22 games in Tropicana Field. Quite naturally, you’re going to get some value when you go against David Price in these early starts, but from our perspective, we don’t know if he isn’t just another Joba Chamberlain-type – dominant in one role (short relief) but still getting his legs under him in the starter’s niche the Rays see for him now and in the future. He’s on pitch counts, his innings have been severely limited, even at Triple-A Durham, and while he struck out six Indians in his season debut, he also walked five hitters in just 3-1/3 innings. Francisco Liriano isn’t exactly on a hot streak; the southpaw has surrendered 12 runs in his last eight innings of work, and e’s coming off a bizarre outing against the Red Sox where he allowed eleven hits in four innings, yet struck out seven hitters without a walk. We’re not in love with him by any stretch, but he has shown some effectiveness against Tampa Bay in the recent past (2-0 with a 1.21 ERA in three starts). Also please note that Joe Mauer is still Captain America – three-for-five last night and hitting .417 with eleven homers and 32 RBI’s in just 27 games.

THE PLAY: MINNESOTA (+115) **

NBA: CLEVELAND at ORLANDO – Game 6 (5/30)

Saturday, May 30th, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

PRO BASKETBALL — May 30
NBA Eastern Conference Finals – Game 6

CLEVELAND at ORLANDO
(Magic -2, Total 192.5; Moneyline: Magic -135, Cavs +115) — This is a pivotal game for the Cavaliers, not just because it will go a long way in determining who goes to the NBA Finals, but because it may also help determine the future of the franchise. If LeBron James loses in this round, it will probably impact his decision as to whether to stay with this team when he becomes a free agent. LeBron has gotten to the free throw line an amazing 61 times over the last three games, and he pulled off a triple-double in Game 5, as his all-around play helped spark a 34-pint surge by the Cavs in the fourth quarter of Thursday’s game, where all of a sudden his teammates took some shots and made them. Orlando’s three-point accuracy was not too good in Game 5 (just 32%), and we should have known that Rafer Alston, who scored 26 points in the Game 4 win, would shoot with too much impunity, and he bricked ten of 11 attempts. I’ll expect him to play more under control in this one. Remember that the Magic doesn’t need his outside shot. Big guys are fouling out; Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Anderson Varejao of Cleveland and Dwight Howard of Orlando all did so in Game 5. Howard is sometimes a monster. sometimes not, but he is really not MVP material. I’m looking for less from Alston, more from Hedo Turkoglu and Rashard Lewis from the perimeter, continued effort from Michael Pietrus, who has now scored in double digits in seven straight games off the bench, and the same kind of numbers from King James, although the Cleveland offense is still standing around waiting for him to do something most of the time.

THE PLAY: ORLANDO -2 **

MLB: FLORIDA at N.Y. METS (5/30)

Saturday, May 30th, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

BASEBALL — May 30

FLORIDA at N.Y. METS
(Johnson vs. Redding; Marlins -125, Mets +105, Total 8.5) — The Mets have won six of their last seven games, and with all of their guys on the disabled list, they deserve all the credit in the world for that. But sooner or later something’s got to give, and this may be that opportunity for Florida, which saw southpaw Sean West silence New York’s bats yesterday, only to see the Marlins come up anemic on the offensive end as well on thre way to a 2-1 extra-inning defeat. Today it’s another big guy, 6’7″ Josh Johnson, who has one of the top ten ERA’s in the National League, carrying a 5-0 record and 1.97 career ERA against the Mets into this one. He’s imposing for sure, and in Tim Redding the Mets are putting a guy in there who held the Dodgers to two hits over six innings in his first start of the season but was shelled against the Red Sox last Sunday. He’s obviously not showing the consistency Jerry Manuel would like to see, and Johnson is allowing slightly over one base runner per inning.

THE PLAY: FLORIDA (-125) *

NBA: L.A. LAKERS at DENVER – Game 6 (5/29)

Friday, May 29th, 2009

All information is for news matter only
All games are graded on a scale of 1-4 stars
Lines are subject to change

PRO BASKETBALL — May 29
NBA Western Conference Finals – Game 6

L.A. LAKERS at DENVER
(Nuggets -5.5, Total 209) — You’d figure that the Lakers, who won the Western Conference by a wide margin this year, would be fed up with all of this struggling. The truth is, however, that Denver has matched up very well with them in this series. In Game 4, they did catch Los Angeles on what was a very flat night, but it seems as if the Lakers came up with a winning solution for Game 5, when they positioned Kobe Bryant less in the role of shooter without conscience and more as a creator of opportunities. It is clear that Denver was overplaying him, and here’s a guy who spearheaded a nine-point win despite taking only 13 shots. In fact, the Lakers really spread the ball around incredibly well, and unlike the situation with the Cleveland Cavaliers, who still have not figured out a way to put together a team offense with LeBron James such a dominant part of the action, L.A. can count on some guys who don’t have to shoot 20-foot jumpers; people like Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom, who combined for 33 points two nights ago. Such an attack is much harder to defend, because the other team cannot over-commit anywhere, and I don’t expect that the Lakers will veer from that in Game 6. Not that Denver is still not shooting very well from beyond the arc (7-for-24 in Game 5, 29.6% for the series) and since that is a more important part of their offensive approach, that means something here.

THE PLAY: L.A. LAKERS +5.5 **